Posts filed under ‘NFL Fantasy Report’
There’s only two weeks left in the FanDuel Fantasy Football Championship, which means it’s time to bear down and make some solid picks so you can head to Vegas to compete for $40,000. So let’s get right to the Fantasy Football Stock Up/Stock Down Report for this week.
LeGarrette Blount (RB – Buccaneers): I had Blount on the stock up list last week. He proceeded to run for 122 yards this past weekend with 2 TDs. But he’s still in the stock up list for two very specific reasons. One is that he’s officially Tampa Bay’s starting RB now, what with Cadillac Williams literally running on fumes. And two, he’s ridiculously cheap, at $6000. So you’re getting a no questions asked #1 back on a competitive team who will be in on goal-line situations and who is almost $4000 cheaper than Adrian Peterson. Are you kidding me?! Sign me up for the rest of the season.
Josh Freeman (QB – Buccaneers): Speaking of those Buccaneers, they’re not too shabby, and neither is Josh Freeman. Freeman is making strides seemingly every week. He plays smart, doesn’t make dumb decisions, and has the capability to run. He’s not going to wow you necessarily with his stats, but he’s a cheap QB who can put up a solid 15-20 points while you spend your extra dough on an extra big time running back or wide receiver.
Greg Olsen (TE – Bears): I know, you’re wondering why on earth I would have a Bear on the stock up list. Especially a Bear as inconsistent as Olsen. And a guy who didn’t catch a pass for two straight weeks. Well, it’s simple. The Bears face the Bills this week. The Bills have a terrible secondary. And if there is ever a chance for Olsen to finally come to life again, it’s this week.
James Jones (WR – Packers): It looks like the Packers will hold Donald Driver out for this week’s game against the suddenly porous Cowboys secondary. Jones is the next best option, and given this matchup, there’s a chance he could have a huge day.
Julius Jones (RB – Saints): You might look at the schedule this week and say, hey, the Saints have no one at RB except Jones and they’re playing the horrible Panthers. This is a bargain! No so, my friend. The Panthers may be terrible, but it isn’t due to their defense. It’s their abysmal offense. Plus, even though it looks like Jones will be the featured back, there’s no guarantee that Ladell Betts doesn’t get half the carries. It’s easy to picture a typical 10-touch, 20-yard performance for Jones.
Darrius Heyward-Bey (WR – Raiders): The Man Who Was Drafted Before Crabtree finally turned in a great game against the Seahawks this past week, posting 105 yards and a touchdown. However, that was due mainly because Louis Murphy was out and Zach Miller was playing at half speed with an injury. if you think there’s any chance Heyward-Bey repeats this performance, especially against a cornerback like Brandon Flowers of the Chiefs this weekend, you’re kidding yourself.
Jeremy Shockey (TE – Saints): It’s probably time to admit he just isn’t the TE he used to be. Shockey hasn’t had more than 30 yards receiving in a month and he’s hardly getting targeted anymore. You pick a lot of other guys for less money who’ll be way more productive than Shockey.
Bernard Berrian (WR – Vikings): With Randy Moss out of town, the Vikings need someone to stretch the field again. Their best shot to do this is Berrian. However, let’s remember why the Vikings needed Moss in the first place. It was because Berrian wouldn’t fight for balls and lost Brett Favre’s trust. Sure, he’s an attractive looking option as the Moss replacement, but I think it honestly makes sense to stay as far away from anyone on the Vikings as possible these days. That team is a powder keg ready to explode.
All right everyone. Time to hit you up with some more fantasy knowledge. Once again, here are some players that it might make sense to use or avoid this weekend in the FanDuel Fantasy Football Championship (3 week left) or in your head-to-head or league matchups.
So let’s get to it.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB – Bills): Yes, he plays on a winless team, but he threw four TDs against the Ravens and – hold your breath – is the #1 fantasy QB in points per game right now. No, that’s not a typo. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a better fantasy QB right now than Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers or Philip Rivers. One thing to note is that while Bills head coach Chan Gailey is a terrible coach, he’s an extremely gifted offensive coordinator. Gailey has made a lot of journeymen QBs look quite good over the years. As long as Fitzpatrick is playing for Gailey, you can be confident Fitzpatrick will play well.
John Kitna (QB – Cowboys): Kitna’s 38 years old, and doesn’t have much left in the tank, but he has a great matchup in Week 8 against a bad Jaguars secondary. Considering Kitna basically has two #1 receivers to throw to in Miles Austin and Dez Bryant, you’ve got to like Kitna. Plus he’s ridiculously cheap ($5,200).
LeGarrette Blount (RB – Buccaneers): I’ve been touting him for a while, and he finally got his chance against the Rams this last weekend, going for 72 yards on 11 carries. Because he’s a punishing runner, expect Blount to get goal-line duties and about 14-18 carries a game. And don’t be surprised if he takes over nearly full time for Cadillac Williams, who is averaging under three yards per carry.
Nate Burleson (WR – Lions): Burleson is quietly having a good season. This week with Matt Stafford back, and the Lions going up against a Redskins secondary that hemorrhages fantasy points, Burleson is a great third wide receiver.
Drew Brees (QB – Saints): Something stinks in New Orleans. Their offense is nothing like it was last year and Drew Brees is having one rough season so far. Is this all due to the Reggie Bush injury? That’s the big question. Bush’s prognosis for playing in Week 8 is up in the air right now. Best to lay off using Brees until Bush gets back and we can reassess the Saints’ offense.
Jordan Shipley (WR – Bengals): Shipley’s Week 7 numbers (6 catches, 131 yards, one TD) were the result of a furious comeback attempt by the Bengals where they had to do almost nothing but throw. No chance he repeats that performance anytime soon.
Brandon Lloyd (WR – Broncos): Lloyd has had some big games this year and is averaging 100 yards per game receiving, but he hasn’t found the end zone all that often. Combine this with the fact that the Broncos are an absolute mess right now, Lloyd is known for being exceptionally streaky, and he’s been held in check for two straight games. The logic is to start backing off from using him. You don’t know what you’re going to get.
Matt Forte (RB – Bears): Forte is unfortunately caught in a terrible situation. Jay Cutler is reverting to 2009 form, the Bears’ O-line is dreadful, and Mike Martz is doing everything possible to avoid running the ball. Combine this with the fact that Chester Taylor is seemingly the goal-line back for the Bears, and Forte looks less and less like an RB you’d trust.
If you’re like me (currently working on an eight game losing streak) then you can use any extra help you can get for the FFFC or just general matchups. Luckily, a few of the guys in our NFL Writers League were kind enough to offer some insights into who they’re selecting this week for their team.
The two experts who kindly offered their advice are Will Brinson of NFL Facts and Rumors at CBS Sports (Will also recently did a cool podcast with Dan Wetzel of Yahoo! Sports about how dumb the BCS is) and Andrew Isaac, the sports editor for the men’s site Guyism.
Both Will and Andrew have focused on bargain players that might help your team this weekend, because after all, it’s usually the bargain player that makes the difference in your game on FanDuel. So let’s get to their thoughts.
First up is Will:
Matt Cassel, QB – I’m probably riding Cassel’s train for the next few weeks, considering he gets an easy pass D schedule (the Jags are putrid — I also like Bowe this week too) and is cheap enough where if you’re willing to skimp on D, K and TE, you can land two elite RBs and three elite WRs.
Panthers, Defense: The Carolina Panthers stink. Trust me, I’m a Cats fan — but just because they’re 0-5 and can’t get anything going offensively doesn’t mean that they’re not useful from a fantasy D perspective, particularly in a weekly format where you don’t have to drop anyone. They’re third in the NFL in yards per play (4.6) and while they cough up 134.4 yards per game on the ground, that’s mainly because people are icing them after getting up more than one point; they only give up 3.8 yards per carry. Add Alex “Pick Six” Smith to the mix, and you have the recipe for a low-cost, high-output D option this week.
John Kasay, Kicker: Ha, yes, I am a homer, thanks for asking. But look, Kasay ranks as the cheapest possible kicking option that’s a starter and the Panthers should be able to move the ball reasonably well against the Niners without really scoring. Plus, you couple him with their defense and you get to take your pick on elite RBs and WRs.
Next up is Andrew:
Joe Flacco, QB – If you’re looking for a cheaper option at QB, consider Flacco ($7,700). He hasn’t thrown an INT at home this year and they’re playing Buffalo, which has a dreadful secondary.
Mike Williams, WR - A good third WR to go with this week is the Seahawks’ Mike Williams. Yes, the same man who ate himself out of the league is coming off the best game of his career and ultimately, might prove to be a viable go-to guy down the road.
Jamal Charles, RB - Kansas City’s Jamal Charles has an extremely favorable match-up. Jacksonville will more than likely fall behind early on the road which should force KC to run the ball consistently in the second half.
We’re going to start a new post each week here on the blog highlighting players that we think you might want to use and might want to avoid as we move towards another weekend of football action. Most of these players are bargain players, the guys you debate selecting when you’ve got your team all set except for that last guy, and you have less than $6,000 left to spend. These are the guys who can make or break you.
This advice will help you out in your head-to-head matchups and the FanDuel Fantasy Football Championship. Also, if you have an interest in writing fantasy columns of any kind, shoot me an email at email@example.com.
Now let’s get to the report.
Patrick Crayton (WR – Chargers; $4,700): Crayton had a very good Sunday with six catches for 119 yards, but that’s not why he’s on the stock-up list. He’s here because Malcom Floyd has a bad hamstring, meaning he might not play this next weekend or might be quite limited. Plus with the Chargers facing a young Patriots secondary, combined with Philip Rivers constantly airing it out, expect Crayton to have a big Week 7 seeing as he’s the best healthy receiving target for the Bolts.
Colt McCoy (QB – Browns; $5,300): The fact that Colt did more than just survive against the Steelers is a testament to the fact that he could be the solution at QB the Browns are aching for. Even though McCoy threw two picks against the Steelers, he was his usual highly accurate self, completing 22 of 33 passes. You have to love that in a QB, because accuracy is everything at the pro level. McCoy is expected to get another start this weekend against the Saints, who statistically have a better secondary than the Steelers, but McCoy still seems like a very good risk. Plus, he’s an incredible bargain at QB.
Todd Heap (TE – Ravens; $4,800): Heap was nailed by Pats safety Brandon Meriweather on a bad helmet-to-helmet hit, so make sure he’s on track to play this week before adding him to your roster. If he does play, the matchup couldn’t be better against a Bills defense allowing the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Danny Woodhead (RB – Patriots; $5,600): Everyone thought when the Patriots picked up Woodhead early in the season they were just getting him for a week so they could learn everything about their divisions rivals the Jets. However, Woodhead’s turned into an all-purpose yards monster for the Pats. He’s an extremely agile running back, averaging 6.4 yards per rush and is an exceptional receiver, which the Pats used to their advantage against the Ravens. Woodhead caught five passes for 52 yards. The only issue with Woodhead’s ever expanding role is that he isn’t getting the TD carries, which are going to BenJarvis Green-Ellis. But look for Woodhead to continue to be heavily involved in the Pats’ offense.
Danario Alexander (WR – Rams; $3,600): Everyone was wondering who would replace Mark Clayton as the go-to receiver in St. Louis. No one in a million years thought it would be Danario Alexander…..except the Rams. Interestingly, although Alexander was on the practice squad until Sunday’s game, he was given a four-year contract. I’ve never heard of a practice squad player ever getting a four-year deal, so obviously the Rams knew something we all didn’t. Of course, Alexander was a very good college WR, but has had four surgeries on his right knee. Long as that knee holds up, he looks like a monster steal.
Michael Bush (RB – Raiders; $5,700): I had Bush in the stock-up section recently since Darren McFadden went down with an injury. Unfortunately, Bush didn’t take advantage of his opportunity in Week 6. It also looks like McFadden will be back this week and the Raiders have hinted they have no interest in a running back committee. So look for Bush to be getting less than 10 carries this weekend if Run DMC is healthy.
Eddie Royal (WR – Broncos; $5,200): Despite Kyle Orton throwing like there’s no tomorrow, Royal has only had two decent games all season. Royal also injured his groin on Sunday. And on top of all that Knowshon Moreno coming back, which means Denver is likely to try and get the running game going again. This is all fancy talk for “dump Royal.”
Devin Hester (WR – Bears; $5,100): Hester may be great at returning punts and kickoffs, but he’s been absolutely abysmal as a consistent receiver. You never know what you’re going to get from him. Plus with the Bears’ O-line parting like the Red Sea on a consistent basis, giving Cutler no time to throw, Hester has no chance of ever getting those bombs we were expecting to see him catch this year. If you’re in a league that somehow records punt returns and kickoffs, pick Hester up, but otherwise, avoid him entirely.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB – Bills; $7,600): Even though the Bills are atrocious, Fitzpatrick has been a great value of late for fantasy owners. In his last three games, he’s thrown seven TDs to only two picks. He also had 74 yards rushing in one of those games. Crazy enough, he’s one of the top fantasy QBs out there based on his stats. The only problem though is that these are primarily garbage time stats. And guess who the Bills are facing this week? A team that never gives up any garbage time stats: the Baltimore Ravens. In all honesty, I wouldn’t be surprised if Fitzpatrick gets pulled from this game. Avoid him completely.
Michael Jenkins (WR – Falcons; $4,700): Jenkins made his season debut on Sunday and caught five passes for 99 yards. Time to pick him up, right? No. This is Jenkins’ seventh season in the NFL and he still has never had a 100-yard receiving game. His best season ever (2008) he had 777 receiving yard, which is an extremely mediocre 48.6 yards per game. Jenkins may have had a big Sunday, but trust me, it was a fluke.